Hazard Management for Blowout Control

Due Diligence.  An operator must have a reasonable idea of basic blowout hazards associated with a given field or planned drilling activity, and likely consequences, where he operates. This hazard assessment is generally going to be subjective as industry statistics on blowout incidents are generally unreliable due to small sample size and the large number of independent variables associated with each. The assessment should be documented, with appropriate logic to back up the opinion.

Based on this initial judgment, an operator will decide whether additional detailed hazard assessment and control evaluation is warranted beyond acceptable standard operating/design practices. If justified, hazard analysis expansion should be continued until cost effectiveness based on total field investment and potential liability begins to diminish.

In general, areas that justify specific contingency plans have relatively high risk and associated high consequences. Areas that may justify specific contingency plans are those that have relatively low risk of occurrence but the consequences may be high if a blowout were to occur. The table below illustrates a simple impact/probability matrix. The column on the left indicates impact on the company if a blowout occurs. The right three columns indicate increasing probability of blowout occurrence. The intersection of the impact and probability matrix indicates the level of contingency plan that should be considered.

Impact on Company

Probability of Blowout Occurrence

 

Low

Medium

High

Low

Minimal Contingency Plan

Minimal Contingency Plan

Modest Contingency Plan

Medium

Minimal Contingency Plan

Modest Contingency Plan

Detailed Contingency Plan

High

Modest Contingency Plan

Detailed Contingency Plan

Detailed Contingency Plan

Simple Qualitative Impact Matrix

To determine the impact from a well control incident on your company you should consider the following individually: Human safety, environmental damage, asset damage, business disruptions, local public image and corporate public image. The impact should consider both the initial event (i.e., the blowout itself) and the impact on the safety and the length of time required for controlling the blowout.

Example Situations of a Blowout having High Impact on an Operating Company

Example Situations with Higher Risk for Well Control Incidents

The matrix below illustrates an example evaluation of risk and impact for a Level 3 (blowout) well control incident.

BLOWOUT IMPACT MATRIX - Initial Event, Mitigation and Control
Company:

Orogho

State/County

Offshore

Structure: Jack-up
Country:

Nigeria

Field/Block

22/30

Slot/Well: Well 4b - HPHT
Hazard Identification and Description: Loss of secondary well control. Underground blowout at shoe, casing evacuates, SIDP
= 0 psi, SICP ˜ frac at shoe. Open hole collapses around BHA, full BHP up DP, pop-off valve on mud pumps exceeded, kelly
valves fail, blowout through drillpipe into mud room, Shear DP, casing fails at cement top, ram body washes out, surface blowout.
Initiating Factors: Loss of primary well control, insufficient shoe strength to hold pressure, rig crew not familiar with underground
blowout signals and correct response, casing not in sufficient tension, casing wear, kelly valve failure
Escalating Factors: gas has potential for explosion and fire, oil not burned for pollution, shallow underground blowout has
potential for undermining and collapse of the rig, emergency procedures not in place, H2S present, ignition source near well.
Date: June 1998 Blowout Probability, Low <-- (A - E) --> High:

C

Operations: Drilling
Type of Response: Initial Response/Mitigation, Control

Initial Response

Blowout Control

 
Internal Resources Rating, High <-- (1 - 5) --> Low:

2

3

External Resources Rating, High <-- (1 - 5) --> Low:

3

2

Risk Classification, Probability -Resource Rating (e.g. C5)

C3

C3

 

Consequences of the Blowout Hazard

Increasing Probability

Rating

Human
Impact

Environment
Impact

Assets
Impact

Business
Impact

Public Image
Local OPCO

Public Image
Corporate

A

B

C

D E

Range
1

Range
2

Range
3

Range
4

Range
5

 

Injury/Fatality

Spill/Release

Property Damage

Disruptions

Negative Reaction

Negative Reaction

         

Event

D5

C2

E4

C3

D4

C3

         

Control

C2

C4

B3

C3

C3

C2

         

1

Slight Injury

No Spill

Slight Damage

Slight

Slight

Slight

         

2

Minor Injury

Slight Spill

Minor Damage

Minor

Minor

Minor

         

3

Major Injury

Minor Spill

Local Damage

Major

Major

Major

         

4

Single Fatality

Major Spill

Major Damage

Extensive

Extensive

Extensive

         

5

Multiply Fatality

Massive Spill

Massive Damage

Massive

Massive

Massive

         
Total Impact Classification (Impact/6): Event = D4, Control = C3